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Markets await Eurozone's August Inflation Figures

31 Aug,2022
Markets await Eurozone's August Inflation Figures

The Eurozone is set to release August CPI figures today, with annual inflation expected to accelerate to 9.0% from 8.9% in July, well above the ECB’s 2% target. The data will likely add to pressure on the ECB to hike rates aggressively at its upcoming September meeting even amid the mounting risk of a recession.

On the other hand, labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.

Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.

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Equities:

In Wall Street, U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation. Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 337 points or 1.05%, to 31,815, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points or 1.10%, to 3,986.15 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 145.3 points, or 1.16%, to 12,345.9.

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Currency Market:

The U.S. dollar drifted lower, retreating from the 20-year peak seen earlier in the week as a nascent rebound in the euro gathers pace.

The Dollar Index traded 0.1% lower to 108.662, after starting the week at a new two-decade high at 109.48.

EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0017, while GBP/USD rose 0.2% to 1.1680, with Goldman Sachs warning that U.K. inflation could top 22% next year if natural gas prices remain elevated in the coming months.

USD/JPY fell 0.3% to 138.39, after data showed Japanese retail sales grew more than expected in July. USD/CNY fell 0.2% to 6.8952. The risk-sensitive AUD/USD rose 0.6% to 0.6895.

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Commodities: Gold

Gold prices fell and were set for a fifth straight month of losses amid fears of aggressive policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,714 an ounce, while gold futures dropped 0.2% to $1,732.85 an ounce.

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Commodities: Oil

Oil prices recovered slightly as data pointed to firm U.S. fuel demand, providing respite after a 5% drop a day earlier on fears that demand will suffer from increased China COVID curbs and central bank interest rate hikes.

WTI crude futures jumped 82 cents or 0.9% to $92.46 a barrel. Brent crude futures climbed 89 cents or 0.9% to $100.20 a barrel.
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