Market participants await the outcome of the FOMC meeting
Market participants await the outcome of the FOMC meeting that will start today. Traders and investors widely expect the FOMC to follow up June’s large 75bp rate increase with a similar move in July, lifting the target range for the Fed Funds rate to 2.25%-2.50%. An increase of this size would effectively end the era of support for the economy that was associated with the pandemic.
Equities:
In Wall Street, The S&P 500 ended close to unchanged as investors girded for an expected rate hike at Fed’s meeting, this week and earnings from several large-cap growth companies. The Nasdaq ended lower, and S&P 500 technology and consumer discretionary led declines among major S&P sectors. The energy sector gained along with oil prices. Markets are generally waiting for all this week’s developments to play out.
The S&P 500 rose 5.21 points, or 0.13%, to 3966.84. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 12 points, or 0.04%, to 31901, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 101 points, or 0.81%, to 12300.4.
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Currency Market:
- The US dollar fell against a basket of major currencies as investors weighed the effects of an increase in interest rates from the Federal Reserve on an economy that may be on the brink of recession.
- The dollar index fell 0.244 percent to 106.42 points, with the euro rising 0.14 percent to $1.0224. The Japanese currency fell 0.44 percent against the US currency to 136.65 yen to the dollar. The lack of news was perfectly good news for high-yielding currencies. The GBP/USD pair trades at around 1.2050, while AUD/USD nears July high at 0.6977. On the other hand, the USD/CAD pair is down to 1.2840.
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Commodities: Gold
- Gold turns negative as market sentiment deteriorates. The price slides below $1,721, rejected again from above $1,730. Meanwhile, the US Dollar recovers momentum, erases losses. The US central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points after its monetary policy committee meeting on Wednesday.
- The yellow metal is correcting lower and is testing the $1,715 area. A break lower could open the doors to $1,700. If it rises back above $1,725, another test of $1,740 could take place. The key resistance above is at $1750.
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Commodities: Oil
- Oil prices rose for the second day in a row amid growing fears of tight European supplies after Russia, a major oil and natural gas supplier to the region, cut gas supplies through a major pipeline.
- Brent crude futures for September rose $1.51, or 1.4 percent, to $106.66 a barrel, having jumped 1.9 percent the previous day. WTI crude contracts for September also increased $1.36, or 1.4 percent, to $98.04 a barrel.
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