Gold Struggles to Reclaim Recent Gains Amid Recession Fears and Federal Rate Cut Expectations
Gold prices rose in the Asian session on Monday and were trading near record highs, as the yellow metal benefited from increased safe-haven demand amid growing concerns about a global economic slowdown.
- The decline in the dollar also supported the bullion markets, following a set of weak economic data from the U.S., which bolstered the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
- Spot gold rose by about 0.4% to $2,453.51 per ounce, while gold futures expiring in December rose by 1% to $2,495.40 per ounce.
- In recent sessions, Gold futures reached record highs above $2,500 per ounce. However, spot gold prices were trading about $25 away from the record high of $2,483.78 per ounce set in July.
- The yellow metal benefited from safe-haven demand after disappointing U.S. economic data, particularly in industrial activity and the labor market, heightened concerns that the world’s largest economy was slowing faster than expected. This led to a sharp decline across most risk-driven markets, especially in equities, Treasuries, and foreign exchange, thereby increasing safe-haven bets on gold.
- The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September and could end the year with a total reduction of 100 basis points, according to CME Fedwatch. Such a scenario is favorable for gold, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets.
- On the other hand, Silver futures jumped by 1.2% to $28.720 per ounce, while Platinum futures fell by 0.8% to $958.40 per ounce.
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